Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.761434 5.344971 5.981262 6.728094 7.582553 8.531813 9.669268
2025-01-19 3.694820 4.420504 5.271008 6.346740 7.678574 9.283005 11.376672
2025-01-26 3.197794 4.014010 5.024502 6.378493 8.161875 10.453621 13.658794
2025-02-02 2.916684 3.808484 4.963737 6.588360 8.843619 11.907371 16.459838
2025-02-09 2.670959 3.605339 4.863052 6.706409 9.384219 13.203244 19.191260
2025-02-16 2.462366 3.421454 4.756549 6.786232 9.856856 14.432643 21.968493
2025-02-23 2.286756 3.260934 4.658646 6.855202 10.303992 15.655974 24.884055
2025-03-02 2.069236 3.016194 4.410163 6.663891 10.317529 16.190805 26.734240
2025-03-09 1.910145 2.842483 4.248653 6.584383 10.488988 16.983200 29.108952
2025-03-16 1.768497 2.682182 4.091395 6.491594 10.620612 17.711670 31.455424
2025-03-23 1.718878 2.660553 4.148292 6.751883 11.372771 19.592494 36.196262
2025-03-30 1.620399 2.551872 4.053955 6.744453 11.649874 20.646400 39.490304
2025-04-06 1.517889 2.431251 3.934064 6.688346 11.846147 21.598971 42.787953
2025-04-13 1.368453 2.221599 3.648026 6.310807 11.405795 21.281304 43.387342
2025-04-20 1.302284 2.148407 3.590489 6.342625 11.747390 22.543363 47.610606
2025-04-27 1.269576 2.130171 3.626930 6.551208 12.455864 24.638339 54.070942
2025-05-04 1.225465 2.088193 3.616783 6.668513 12.991338 26.436755 60.159002
2025-05-11 1.179352 2.039037 3.589133 6.747827 13.454881 28.136631 66.316703
2025-05-18 1.135253 1.990264 3.558021 6.816354 13.901406 29.854788 72.843968
2025-05-25 1.062121 1.882644 3.407314 6.626271 13.760086 30.192400 75.767537
2025-06-01 1.008183 1.807662 3.314046 6.547272 13.857818 31.107568 80.444857
2025-06-08 0.956717 1.734165 3.218544 6.455075 13.915083 31.930622 85.019957
2025-06-15 0.947214 1.741108 3.282908 6.713699 14.821269 35.002994 96.860662